With all of the speculative commotion over retirement announcements by two prominent Democratic lawmakers, too many in the media and elsewhere have glossed over the fact that the Republican Party holds substantial lead over Democrats in incumbent retirements and dropouts for the 2010 electoral cycle. David A. Harris, President of the National Jewish Democratic Council, weighed in on this subject in Politico:
It’s true, Republicans are indeed heading for the exits in the House and Senate—just not in the past 24 hours. Wait, we’re talking about Republicans here, correct? Because as of this minute, more GOP incumbents are stepping down in the House than Democratic incumbents, and the same goes in the Senate—where more Republican incumbents have opted not to seek re-election. Perhaps this round of Arena should be retitled, “The dropouts: How bad for the GOP? How good for the Dems? What message for Michael Steele?”
Harris is not the only one who saw through the myths about 2010; MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow presented a scorecard comparing the losses, demonstrating visually that Republicans comprise the bulk of 2010’s dropouts.
Despite this though, the Republican Jewish Coalition (RJC) continues to fantasize that the Democratic Party is a “sinking ship.” As with other instances in the past, it would be wise for RJC to quit using fuzzy math to justify their 2010 predictions; especially when Michael Steele, Chairman of the Republican Party, is openly pessimistic about the GOP’s future.
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